Outliers or trend predictors? Rasmussen Reporting’s Mark Mitchell reveals preliminary results from a recent poll (not yet released) showing President Trump leading Joe Biden among black voters in both a head-to-head and five-way tie-up. Mitchell told Steve Bannon in the War Room on Tuesday morning that Trump leads Biden by one point in one-on-one matchups, 39% to 38%. Trump leads the five-game showdown with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by a staggering 43% to 31%, with 12% support among black voters.
File screen image of Trump supporters at a campaign rally in the Bronx on May 23, 2024.
Mitchell said the questions are part of a monthly immigration survey sponsored by NumbersUSA. Previous surveys showed Biden leading Trump among black voters 61% to 21%. Mitchell noted that subset polls could be canceled and next month’s numbers could go the other way. Last month’s Rasmussen data matched a recent New York Times/Siena College poll that showed Biden leading Trump among black voters, 66% to 23%. That’s a big improvement from the 87% to 12% lead Biden had over Trump among black voters in the 2020 election.
Mitchell also said that among people aged 18 to 39, Trump leads Biden by 3 points in a two-way matchup and by 5 points in a five-way matchup, but did not disclose specific details.
video:
Breaking: Mark Mitchell @Rasmussen_Poll Tell The War Room’s Steve Bannon that his latest polling data shows President Trump currently winning the black vote by 1 percentage point in a two-way matchup with Joe Biden. pic.twitter.com/Rc1PE1e3vL
— VISH BURA ☠️ (@VishBurra) May 28, 2024
The Biden campaign has acted this month as if it was losing black support, trying to scare off black voters with pointed attacks on Trump and Biden’s commencement speeches at Morehouse College in Atlanta, where Biden gave the speech. Al House College paints a picture of a racist America to black men.
Frustrating and Angry Joe Biden Tells Young Black People How America Hates Them… So Inspiring pic.twitter.com/Dw8vDofz4u
— Miguelifornia (@miguelifornia) May 19, 2024
Biden released a campaign video last week on the day of Trump’s rally in the Bronx, falsely smearing Trump as a racist:
NEW AD: As Trump heads to the Bronx today, let us remember: Trump is a lifelong racist.
From calling for the execution of innocent black teenagers to siding with violent white supremacists, we all know who Trump is. pic.twitter.com/LQZFxAJ763
— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) May 23, 2024
Interviews from the Bronx rally revealed that black and Hispanic voters are just as worried as other groups about the state of America and how things will get better under Trump:
NBC’s Dasha Burns talks to black and Hispanic voters at Bronx rally:
“Trump is the man who can save this country.”
They don’t care that Democrats are unfairly smearing him as a racist. They care about his policies. Wallet concerns drive them to vote. pic.twitter.com/fkPBvnuCAd
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) May 24, 2024