9 years ago
April 2015
“While pessimists worry that new types of smart automation will mean social, economic and political upheaval, the fact is that robots are already here, and humans are doing what we’ve always done in the face of change: anticipating and adapting to circumstances we can, as we Muddle through where you can’t and try to enjoy the ride.
Catherine Mangu-Ward
“The robot revolution has arrived”
“When I meet informally with experienced AI researchers, I often ask them how much progress has been made in a specific subfield of AI over the past 20 years. The typical answer is the progress required to achieve human-level AI Around 5% to 10%, although some say less than 1% and others say it is beyond human capabilities, but they also generally say that if a more sustained study confirms these informal answers , and this speed has exceeded.
robin hanson
“How to Survive a Robot Uprising”
11 years ago
April 2013
“As software replaces labor, we will see greater potential for productivity improvements in education. The incentives to invest in such improvements will expand as the market size increases. What will the ‘curriculum’ of the future look like? A model is a super textbook: lectures, exercises, quizzes, and grading can all be conducted on a tablet, the textbook’s AI routines can guide students through lectures and exercises specifically designed to address students’ deficiencies, and human intelligence (tutors) can be called upon as needed ).
Alex Tabarok
“What’s Wrong with Higher Education”
28 years ago
December 1996
“Jonathan Swift’s 1696 satire “The War of the Books” describes a violent war between armies of living books between ancient people and modern people. Exactly 300 years later, today’s ancient people and modern people are fighting against each other. An equally fierce but often oversimplified war is raging between: technophobes and technophiles… Everyone recognizes that the history of technology is complex, but most authors still cling to timelines and cause-and-effect like a drowning sailor Contrast that with James Burke’s linear path. pinball effect (1996) is a stunningly original and joyful otter dip in the ocean of history: few other books we know of so masterfully document the dizzyingly intricate symbiosis of inventors and inventions…and increasingly so The meaningful question may no longer be whether technology is good or bad, but whether there is a substantial difference between the maker and the made.
Jonathan Koechmer and Jeff Bezos
“Art and Cultural Relics”
29 years ago
November 1995
“A century is a huge span that fully stretches our vision. Reflecting HG Wells’ Time machine Just a century ago, in 1895, biotechnology emerged. brave new world (1932), could trigger a revolution as profound as the industrialization of the early 19th century. It will run parallel to many other themes—the expansion of artificial intelligence, the opening of the inner solar system to economic use, and more.
Gregory Benford
“Biology: 2001”
33 years ago
August/September 1991
“Even Japan’s MITI-sponsored “high-tech mega-projects” have frequently failed. The Japanese government’s efforts to build world-class pharmaceutical, chemical and aluminum companies have not worked, and even some of MITI’s fifth-generation computers have failed. Nine years of subsidies for the program have not produced computers with artificial intelligence, and heavily subsidized supercomputer companies like Fujitsu are being crushed in the world market by Intel and Cray Research, U.S. companies that have effortlessly defeated Japan.
Martin Wooster
“Go global”
51 years ago
March 1973
“Science fiction has almost always been humanistic and anti-authoritarian (even in the Soviet Union, science fiction in the post-Stalinist renaissance was far from the dull didacticism of socialist realism), and is one of the few places where it is today Of course, science fiction can popularize social concepts──[Robert] Heinlein’s The moon is a harsh mistress This is so well done for liberalism that many readers don’t even notice the novel’s implications for artificial intelligence and the biological and social ecology of new environments.
John Pierce
“Science Fiction Perspective”
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