A new Pennsylvania poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research finds Vice President Kamala Harris currently leads former President Trump by four points in Pennsylvania.
Here are the top results, within the poll’s four-point margin of error:
BREAKING NEWS: SP&R released its latest presidential race poll today. It shows Harris leading by a slim 4 points within the poll’s +/-4.0% MOE. On-site date 7/22-7/28; Sample size 600 LV. pic.twitter.com/Xi6XISxRMO
– SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) July 30, 2024
This is one of the more accurate recent polls in Pennsylvania. They are one point away from winning the state’s 2020 presidential race and one point away from Josh Shapiro winning the 2022 gubernatorial race. A one-point lead over Oz, but nearly all Pennsylvania polls underestimate John Fetterman’s support in this race.
Beyond the numbers, the latest Pennsylvania poll is consistent with other polls showing Harris’ support is up 3-5 percentage points compared to the final Trump/Biden numbers.
The election has changed, and the movement is Democrats and independents worried that Joe Biden is firmly in Harris’ camp.
Vice President Harris has yet to choose her running mate, and her polling numbers in the Keystone State would be higher if she chooses Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.
The only thing that’s certain is that the result in Penn State will be close.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of Society of Professional Journalists and American Political Science Association
