National polls show support shifting slightly toward Joe Biden: In the roughly a week and a half since former President (and Republican presidential candidate) Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying records to conceal hush money payments to porn stars, many national polls show voters have moved slightly Tends to support current President (and presumptive Democratic presidential nominee) Joe Biden.
HarrisX/Forbes The poll found that Biden and Trump each gained a percentage point after the verdict. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Biden’s support rose by one point and Trump’s fell by one point. A Morning Consult poll found Biden up a percentage point, while Trump neither gained ground nor lost any ground. An Echelon Insights poll found Biden’s support rose two percentage points and Trump’s remained unchanged. (All poll results can be found in charts here.)
New York Times Recontacted about 2,000 respondents to the survey this spring and found that “when initially interviewed in April and May, this group supported Mr. Trump by 3 points, but this week they supported him by just 1 point percentage point.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 25% of independents and 10% of Republicans were less likely to vote for Trump if he were convicted. The poll “also found that 56% of registered Republican voters said the case would have no impact on their vote, and 35% said they would be more likely to support Trump, who has claimed the charges against him are politically motivated. motive and vowed to appeal,” Reuters reported. “It is more important for Trump to lose one-tenth of the party’s voters than to gain stronger support from more than one-third of Republicans, many of whom are likely to vote regardless of conviction. he.
“The verdict does not have as big an impact on the 2024 race as Democrats had hoped,” wrote. Washington postof aaron black. “But the overall evidence suggests that this had some impact on Trump.”
ABC added that this apparent shift could be the result of “partisan non-response bias” – basically, Republicans may now be less keen to respond to the public given the bad news they just dealt with in the form of Trump. Converge, and Democrats may be more excited to respond. None of these shifts are huge. These changes are within the margin of error. Time will prove everything.
DC scene: I present to you the most DC thing I’ve ever seen, in honor of the time I spent most of the last week there. (Out of respect for my colleagues in Washington, I won’t say anything unkind about this, er, “city.”)
Possibly the largest float in the March on Washington ever pic.twitter.com/RIlcXEoOCI
— Igor Bobic (@igorbobic) June 9, 2024
Quick click
- “If you record [Noa] Agamani was abducted from the back of a motorcycle on October 7, becoming a darkly iconic representation of the horrors of that day,” wrote Oliver Wiseman. “The footage of her reunion with her father will be remembered as a rare expression of hope.
- “What if the United States cuts off aid to Israel?” asked reasonMatt Welch.
- Today, Donald Trump — now a convicted felon — will attend a probation interview.
- Colorado weed market declines.
- really good Odd shares An interlude about the much-maligned practice of “personalized pricing.”
- The rationale for this theory is this: arranged marriage isn’t dead, it’s essentially just mediated by social media apps.
Many ordinary people in middle America enter into dating app marriages that look a lot like arranged marriages. If you meet someone with the same values and social status, you can get married within a few months. pic.twitter.com/ChhmKvHVJt
– cold? (@ Cold Therapy) June 9, 2024
