Joe Biden has long led Donald Trump 18 to 29. That was true during the 2020 presidential election, and it will be true this year as well.
However, according to some new data, Trump has become more competitive among an age group that has historically favored Democrats.
RELATED: ‘The Rock’ Says He Won’t Support Biden, Soon Triggers Liberal Meltdown
Major shift in young voters’ response to Trump
The Harvard Institute of Politics surveyed 2,010 Americans aged 18 to 29 between March 14 and 21.
The poll shows that “if the presidential election were held today, President Biden would do better among registered voters (50% Biden, 37% Trump) and young voters under 30 (56% Biden, 37% Trump). President Trump. When there is no voter screening (i.e. all 18-29 year olds), the field shrinks to single digits, with President Biden at 45%, President Trump at 37%, and 16% % of people are undecided.
Compare this to the last presidential election. It was a close game.
The poll noted, “For context, at this stage of the 2020 election, the Harvard Youth Poll shows Biden leading Trump by 23 points (51%-28%) among all young people, and 51%-28% among all young people. Leading Trump by 30 percentage points (60%-30%) among likely voters under 30.
In 2020, Biden led Trump by 23 points among all voters under 30…
Biden leads this election by just 8 percentage points, 18-29.
This is a significant shift, and for these young voters, this is the 15th time they are turning to Trump.
Trump also has one area where he has a clear advantage over Biden: voter enthusiasm, which is almost non-existent on Biden’s side.
Today, Biden’s lead in the same group has dropped to just eight points. There was a 15-point shift in Trump’s direction.
The poll showed that “three-quarters (76%) of Trump voters say they enthusiastically support their candidate, while 44% of Biden voters say the same.”
Ouch.
RELATED: Trump slams ‘highly biased’ judge, threatens to arrest if he doesn’t attend hush money trial
Biden’s numbers aren’t promising
Other survey results show that only 9% of voters under the age of 30 believe that the United States is on the right track, while 58% believe that the United States is on the wrong track.
“Today’s young people have clear concerns about the direction of our country,” Sadie Warren, director of the Institute of Politics at Harvard’s Kennedy School, said in a press release.
“With concerns about the economy, foreign policy, immigration and climate, young people across the country are paying attention and increasingly ready to make their voices heard at the ballot box this November,” Warren added.
With the support of these young voters, Biden’s job approval rating is 31%. Vice President Kamala Harris? About as low, at 32%.
“There’s no doubt that this is a different youth electorate than what we saw in 2020 and 2022, and the motivations of young voters are different,” said John Della Wall, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School of Politics and an expert on young voter polling. John Della Volpe said.
“Economic issues are top of mind, housing is a major issue – and the gap between the political preferences of young men and young women is also evident,” he continued.
Make no mistakes. Joe Biden still leads among this key group of voters.
But compared to his performance in an already close 2020 campaign, the gap is nowhere near that wide.
